NFL Betting Podcast Week 16 with @FairwayJay
Another big scoring week as week 15 games averaged 52 PPG and over/under totals went 10-6. That despite weather issues in some locations, which is a factor again as we break down the games on the NFL Betting Podcast Week 16. Be sure to check the weather in many locations this week and make your wagers accordingly and in advance as needed with rain and stronger winds projected in many NFL locations.
This week we look ahead to the week 16 match-ups and again try to evaluate and analyze point-of-attack play and which teams can control the ball, clock and chains in contests that dictate such play. In week 14, teams than rushed the ball at least 30 times went 8-1 ATS. In week 15, they went those 30+ rushers went 9-1 ATS. Teams that rushed the ball 20 times or less are 1-12-1 ATS the past two weeks. In week 15, teams that out-rushed their opponent by 30 or more yards went 9-1-1 ATS.
Key match-ups in week 16 with playoff implications include:
New Orleans at Carolina. Both teams 10-4 and tied on top the NF C South division. A Saints win secures the division title and first-round bye in the playoffs.A Panthers victory puts them in position to win the division the following week and get the first-round bye.
Chicago at Philadelphia. Both teams are 8-6 and have taken the lead in their NFC divisions; the Eagles by one game and the Bears by 1/2 game. Neither team will get a wild card, so this is a key game for both teams playoff hopes.
New England at Baltimore. Following a big Monday Night win at Detroit, the Ravens can win the AFC North with a victory over the Patriots and win next week at Cincinnati. New England secures the #2 seed and potentially #1 seed with a win at Baltimore and home victory over Buffalo next week.
The Dolphins, Chargers, Cowboys, Packers, Lions and Cardinals are all chasing a playoff spot while the Broncos and Chiefs are both 11-3 and battling for the AFC West title and #1 seed.
If something happened over the weekend and into the coming week, you can bet it’s being handicapped and covered by FairwayJay each week on the Vegas Sports Zone NFL betting podcast. Follow @FairwayJay on Twitter for additional sports handicapping & betting insight along with daily articles at VegasSportsZone.com
The NFL Betting Podcast Week 16 features more ATS info and insight into the match-ups. FairwayJay discusses the standings and impact as teams push for the playoffs, along with weather issues and impact.
Situational handicapping is always something to consider and follow, and we’ll continue to use that in our evaluation of games along with the fundamental match-ups and point of attack play. The statistical parameters and projections further enhance our pursuit of profit in our point spread prognosis.
Each week FairwayJay analyzes and discusses point of attack play as part of his handicapping of games, and points out proven profiles on teams that have success running the ball and stopping the run. Stats are evaluated further in FairwayJay’s weekly NFL Inside the Numbers article posted Wednesday’s, but note that through week 15 games, teams that run the ball 20 times or less in a game are a combined 14-77 (15%) ATS this season. Conversely, teams that run the ball at least 30 times per game are 99-23 ATS (81%) this season.