Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 4 Underdog Picks And Preview
Now 7-3 ATS selecting underdogs this season and 58-30 ATS (66%) the past 2+ seasons on these pages, we hold nothing back in Week 4 and fire on at least five underdogs. With 39 outright underdog winners on these pages and picks, you should consider a portion of your bet on the money line.
Here is my weekly ‘recency report’ with current week market moves and the NFL Week 5 look ahead lines. I hope this information helps you in your pursuit of profit, as I try to provide added insights beyond just the picks.
If you like tracking NFL odds and percentages of bets on teams each week from a consensus of 7 leading online sportsbooks, then check out Sports Insights Live NFL odds and betting data on spreads, money lines and totals for Week 4.
Also, scores and odds from Las Vegas sportsbooks.
NFL Week 5 Underdog Picks
253 Cleveland (+7) at Baltimore – Browns Money Line +260
258 Miami (+16) vs LA Chargers – Dolphins Money Line +750
262 Detroit (+6.5) vs Kansas City – Lions Money Line +260
264 Buffalo (+7) vs New England – Bills Money Line +280
271 Minnesota (+2.5) at Chicago – Vikings Money Line +120
Analysis to follow as able, and still evaluating more including the Saints (+2.5) at home vs. Dallas. More injury reports to sort through as well, along with stats. For the record, teams that out-rushed their opponent by at least 30 yards had a rare losing week ATS in Week 3 going 4-7 ATS to run the record to 19-15 ATS this season.
I also analyze some of the Week 4 games and cover more sports betting industry news as a co-host in a weekly podcast at The Lines with time stamps on selected coverage. I chip in more with a NFL weekly trends article, noting why they are mostly meaningless.
I’ll sort through more stats and provide a breakdown of the stats and information to use in the weeks ahead on handicapping point of attack play. The Bills (175-67 outrushed Bengals) was a very tough loser for us as a favorite last week when you factor in the number or rushing attempts and domination overall. Buffalo should have absolutely won by a bigger margin completely dominating at halftime but only up 14-0.