Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 18 Underdog Picks And Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals delivered us another outright underdog winner in our Week 17 underdog picks, and that runs the season record posting underdog picks on these pages to 25-12 ATS (67.6%), and the five year record picking only underdogs is now 125-91 (57.9%). We also won our play of the day on the total in that game with a high scoring 34-31 Bengals win and recommendation on Cincinnati’s team total over 22.5.

We conclude the 2021 regular season with our NFL Week 18 underdog picks. I add more insight and analysis in my weekly underdog picks and previews at Offshore Gaming Association, and a big parlay bet, that hit in my update for Forbes. A bettor wagered $100 on a 14-leg NFL Week 17 moneyline parlay and hit them all to win $102,000.

There are nine road favorites this week, including seven by at least 4 points and three double-digit road favorites. In most weeks, we would be quite active on more home underdogs, but there are still many questions and situations to consider into game day. Due to the volatility surrounding Week 18, and the ongoing COVID-19 issues impacting players and teams including last week with our update on these pages, it’s imperative to monitor the Reserve/COVID-19 and injury reports along with game day decisions this week.

NFL Week 18 Underdog Picks

Denver (+11.5) vs Kansas City – Broncos moneyline +410 at Caesars (Saturday)
Miami (+6) vs New England – Dolphins moneyline +230 at Caesars/William Hill
Las Vegas (+3) vs Los Angeles Chargers – Raiders moneyline +135 at BetMGM

Kansas City at Denver

This line is inflated, regardless of the Broncos quarterback. The lookahead line on the KC/DEN game last week was Chiefs -3. Kansas City lost at Cincinnati last week, and the Broncos are on a 3-game losing streak. But look for the Broncos to show up with a solid effort against a division rival despite being out of the playoff picture…read more.

New England at Miami

Added Sunday morning. Follow the Bills-Jets game as well with the Patriots perhaps pulling some starters in the 2nd half if Buffalo is in control. Read more game analysis on the Dolphins – Patriots.

Los Angeles at Las Vegas

A playoff play-in game on Sunday Night Football in Las Vegas. Winner makes the playoffs and loser is out…read more.