Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 11 Underdog Picks And Preview

Underdogs have rolled the last two weeks, getting the money to the tune of 19-9 ATS. That includes 10-4 ATS in Week 10 when we went 2-1 ATS on our underdog picks with two more outright winners on the Vikings and Eagles. Now 16-6 ATS with 12 outright underdog winners this season, we move onto Week 11 holding nothing back with our biggest underdog card of the season. The past five seasons posting underdogs only on these pages is now 118-85 ATS (58.1%) with 60 outright underdog winners

More positive comments and chip-ins from supporters, who get these winners each week for free from a proven pro with a documented history of winning.

NFL Week 11 Odds and Betting Data

Check out the Week 11 key games and analysis in my sports betting update on Forbes between the Cowboys and Chiefs along with the Packers and Vikings. Those two games are taking the most betting action at BetMGM. The Chiefs are taking more than 75% of the spread money at Caesars Sports and the Packers have taken nearly 80% of the bets (tickets), yet the line has dropped against the Vikings to -1 and hitting pick ’em at some sportsbooks.

NFL Week 11 underdog picks


Monitor the Week 11 injuries, and select injury reports like Pro Football Focus along with other NFL news and personnel reports.

The lines below are updated as of Saturday with the original Week 11 picks, lines and full analysis posted on Offshore Gaming Association.

NFL Week 11 Underdog Picks

New York Jets (+3.5) vs Miami – Jets moneyline +160 at SuperBook
Washington (+3.5) at Carolina – WFT moneyline +150 at Caesars Sportsbook
Houston (+10) at Tennessee – Texans moneyline +375 at PointsBet
Minnesota (+1) vs Green Bay – Vikings moneyline +100 at William Hill
Dallas (+2.5, buy +3) at Kansas City – Cowboys moneyline +120 at BetMGM

Dallas at Kansas City

Lets take +3 and buy it on Dallas with our rushing stats and guidelines clearly favoring the visiting Cowboys. Also, a high-scoring shootout to sail over this high total (56). The Chiefs broke out last week in their road route of the Raiders, 41-14 to take over the lead in the AFC West. But the NFC East-leading Cowboys lead the NFL with 434 yards per game offense and 6.3 yards per play. Averaging a league-high 31.6 points per game, the Cowboys offense should roll again against a deficient Chiefs defense allowing 373 YPG and Dallas’ top 5 rushing attack and 30 attempts per game running wild over a Chiefs run defense that has improved, but is still sub-par. Read more in my NFL Week 11 coverage at Forbes.

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on X (Twitter): @FairwayJay