Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 10 Underdog Picks And Preview

Identifying NFL Week 10 Underdog Picks and Bets

A 1-1 results in Week 9 on these pages but a strong winner and Play of the Day on the Buffalo Bills (+3) in their dominant 44-34 win over the sieve defense of Seattle.

Read more of my insight and added Week 10 picks and analysis at Offshore Gaming Association, where I have contributed for years before there was legal sports betting in the U.S. (other than Nevada).

Also, check out my Recency Report at TheLines, where I chip in weekly NFL coverage and market data with information you can bet on. Line moves, including totals (8 point drop in Browns/Texans game), along with Week 11 lookahead lines and early analysis.

NFL Week 10 Betting Data

Betting percentages on teams and games for NFL Week 10 from William Hill sportsboook. Check back for added data.


I keep stats in a spread sheet weekly and update periodically on these pages with Inside the Numbers. To learn more about my career and history, read my handicapping success, strategies and sports betting stories. See how I provided 8 straight years of winning NFL selections with greater than 57% ATS success on nearly NFL 650 plays.

I recognize on these pages we’re having a poor run and losing 2020 season through eight weeks. The 3-plus year run has dropped to 87-70 ATS (55.4%) picking underdogs only.

Hopefully you still pickup some information and insight you can use. Learn to follow and adjust to the swift betting markets and information that matters during unprecedented times and COVID-19.

NFL Week 9

NFL Week 10 Picks

262 Carolina (+6) vs Tampa Bay – Panthers Moneyline +215
270 Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) vs Seattle – Rams Moneyline -130
277 Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5) at Miami – Chargers Moneyline +105

Seattle at LA Rams

Read my Week 9 analysis of Bills over Seahawks and you’ll see my projection of ‘I expect a two-game losing streak to start this week.’ The Rams (5-3) are rested and ready off a bye and have a +0.9 net yards per play edge over the Seahawks (6-2)

NFL Week 10

in this key NFC West showdown. Los Angeles also owns the superior defense allowing just 292 yards per game and a league-low 4.7 yards per play. The Seahawks explosive (pass) offense led by QB Russell Wilson should finally be slowed somewhat this week. Meanwhile, the sieve Seattle defense and their Sea Chicken to-be-fired coordinator Ken Norton, Jr. are allowing a league worst 455 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play. Back-to-back road games for Seattle and back-to-back losses.

Read more game analysis and information you can bet on at osga.com.

Author: FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and betting analyst providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. His work, writing and content is provided to various sites and leading sources. Follow him on Twitter: @FairwayJay