Evaluating NFL Week 7 Lookahead Lines And Week 6 Market Moves
Each week during the NFL season, the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, FanDuel, PointsBet, William Hill and other selected sportsbooks release the betting lines for the following week’s games. These lines offer a glimpse at the projected betting lines up to 10 days in advance of the games. This week we provide and evaulate the Week 7 lookahead lines.
I update these NFL Week 7 lookahead lines and current week market moves initially each week in the Recency Report at TheLines. I also review weekly stats and provide information you can bet on in reports and Inside the Numbers updates. I contribute sports betting industry updates at TheLines and chip-in information you can bet on. I’ll update a bit more here each week with links to other NFL team info and tools you can use for your own handicapping and betting.
NFL Week 6 – Odds
A key game in Week 6 is Cleveland at Pittsburgh. The Steelers are a 3.5-point favorite and the betting action as of Thursday was nearly split on both side, but the total of 51 had more than 90% of the handle supporting the OVER.
Monday night has two contests with Kansas City at Buffalo the first game between division leaders followed by Arizona at Dallas.
These games and others are evaluated at TheLines, which also provides over/under odds and information you can bet on.
NFL WEEK 6 ODDS
Check out the NFL Week 6 Odds and some of the selected match-ups and market moves I chip-in with at TheLines
WEEK 7 LOOKAHEAD LINES
The Week 7 lookahead lines shows eight division games with the Saints and Panthers a potential first place showdown as each team is 3-2 heading into Week 6.
The Titans and Steelers is a makeup game, and both those teams are 4-0 heading into Week 6.
Teams with a bye in Week 7 include the Ravens, Colts, Dolphins and Vikings, who delivered our Week 5 Play of the Day winner.
|Week 7 Games – Lookahead Lines||FanDuel|
|NY Giants at Philadelphia||PHI -7|
|Buffalo at NY Jets||BUF -10.5|
|Carolina at New Orleans||NO -7|
|Cleveland at Cincinnati||CLE -5|
|Dallas at Washington||DAL -4.5|
|Detroit at Atlanta||ATL -1|
|Green Bay at Houston||GB -3.5|
|Pittsburgh at Tennessee||TEN -1|
|Seattle at Arizona||SEA -3.5|
|Jacksonville at LA Chargers||LAC -7|
|Kansas City at Denver||KC -10|
|San Francisco at New England||NE -5.5|
|Tampa Bay at Las Vegas||TB -2.5|
|Chicago at LA Rams||LAR -6.5|
HOW TO USE LOOKAHEAD LINES
Many bettors tend to overreact ot previous week’ scores and results, as a recency bias sets in. Most bettors also like to bet on the top teams or winning teams and don’t bet on the very bad teams or even losing teams with much confidence. That despite inflated lines at times set by the bookmaker.
The advance lookahead lines allows you to see where the bookmaker makes the line prior to the current weeks games being played. The linemaker is unbiased in setting the lines in advance without the information from the current week’s contests.
Of course, injuries or now COVID-19 sidelining players impacts the lines, as is the case in Week 6 with the Cowboys QB Dak Prescott getting injured in Week 5 and now out for the season. Dallas was a 3.5-point favorite over Arizona on the lookahead line but the Cardinal opened a 3-point favorite and was bet down to 2 and 1.5. So the quarterback injury can have a significant impact on the line, but potential dropoff in production varies based on the backup quarterback.
Bettors can also gain an edge or find value in the lines once the current week’s lines are released. They do this based on not only a potential overreaction to the recent week’s results, but by using information they have on teams, including power rankings. Making adjustments is part of the process, along with formulating an opinion on certain teams. This can be based on personnel, injuries, situations and stats that come to light as the season progresses.