NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 13

As teams push for the playoffs and division titles, we're seeing the contenders separate from the pretenders. A strong slate of week 13 games started Thursday with the Cowboys winning their 11th straight game with a road win at Minnesota, 17-15. The Vikings got the money late and their defense rose up again holding the Cowboys to just 264 yards offense. But Minnesota (6-6) has faded fast losing 6-of-7 and special teams miscues were costly in defeat. The other prime time games were blowouts as ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 12

NFL Week 12 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats December football has arrived and teams are pushing for the playoffs and division titles. I’ve updated some stats, rushing and ATS info in a recent article, and provided below. Other teams, like the winless Browns (0-12) and 49ers (1-10) are proving to be historically bad. Bettors can’t wait to go against those horrible teams, and the Browns and 49ers are giving away money also going 1-10 ATS and 3-8 ATS respectively. We had a Top Play total ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 11

NFL Week 11 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats The Bookmakers took another big hit with the Browns and 49ers getting buried again in week 11. Cleveland continue to be the lead story here, as this historically bad team fell to 0-11 with another brutal offensive performance. Cleveland totaled just 209 yards at 3.4 yards per play in a 24-9 home loss to rival Pittsburgh. The sports books continue to take a pounding as bettors can’t wait to bet against the Browns (2-9 ATS) and the 49ers. San ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 10

NFL Week 10 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats The Browns continued to embarrass themselves in losing their 10th straight game (0-10) at Baltimore last Thursday night. Cleveland managed just 11 first downs and 144 yards total offense at 3.0 yards per play in a 28-7 defeat. Consider that the Browns led 7-6 at halftime and it’s clear this team is now an underdog to win a game this season. The 49ers managed to cover the big spread at Arizona in a last second loss at Arizona, 23-20. Yet San ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 9

NFL Week 9 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats The Falcons got their redemption to start the week Thursday, burying the Buccaneers 43-28 in Tampa. A strong, balanced attack for the league’s most productive offense helped the Falcons fly to victory as Atlanta maintains their 2-game lead on top of the NFC South at 6-3. Some surprises in week 9 included the Colts going to Green Bay and leading wire-to-wire in upsetting the Packers 31-26 as 7-point ‘Dog. The Vikings scored a TD with just 23 ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 8

NFL Week 8 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats Early risers Sunday morning watched the Bengals and Redskins come alive in the 2nd half to deliver an over the total winner, but the two teams couldn’t settle the score in overtime to finish in a 27-27 tie.  The marquee Sunday night match-up had a big betting swing, as Eagles bettors were shot down with their solid underdog bet (+5) in a 29-23 overtime loss at Dallas. The Cowboys controlled the line of scrimmage and yards with a strong, balanced ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 7

NFL Week 7 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats Some poor offensive showings and games were clearly evident in Week 7 with the first three games on the card leading the way. The Bears were an embarrassment to Chicago and their betting backers on Thursday night losing at rival Green Bay 26-10 with just 13 first downs, 45 plays and 189 total yards at 4.2 yards per play. Jay Cutler returns at QB for their week 8 Monday night match-up at home against the Vikings and their league-best defense. Another ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 6

NFL Week 6 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats It was a strange week from a statistical perspective as you’ll see below in some of my analysis and charts. There were some huge rushing results with expected win/covers, but some very poor running games by teams that got the money late like the Browns, Giants and Saints. And the New York Giants became the first team this season to have a minus (-3) or greater turnover margin and get the point spread cover (1-16 ATS this year). And it was just the ... More