1237 Results for author: FairwayJay
MAC Attack on Election Night and Eastern Michigan Gets Our Vote
The country will be keeping score and watching the results of the presidential election Tuesday night as Clinton tries to hold off Trump. And while many American’s have negative feelings and would rather bet against those two ‘bad’ candidates, similar feelings harvest in the hearts and minds of sports bettors when betting on bad teams. Tuesday's MAC match-up between Ball State and Eastern Michigan fits that profile to many ...
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NFL Week 8 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Early risers Sunday morning watched the Bengals and Redskins come alive in the 2nd half to deliver an over the total winner, but the two teams couldn’t settle the score in overtime to finish in a 27-27 tie. The marquee Sunday night match-up had a big betting swing, as Eagles bettors were shot down with their solid underdog bet (+5) in a 29-23 overtime loss at Dallas. The Cowboys controlled the line of scrimmage and yards with a strong, balanced ...
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Evaluating The Stats And College Football Defensive Dominators
In seasons past I’ve written many articles on college football using statistical indicators and profiles to assist you in college football handicapping. That includes my recent article on this year’s most powerful and balanced elite offenses. Public bettors love to bet on high-octane offensive teams, but the sports books know that and also adjust to those tendencies and public perception. That includes when posting totals, ...
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Top Contenders for the College Football Playoff into November
As the calendar turns to November next week, many teams are pushing for a bowl bid and some conference contenders are looking to secure a division title and a shot at their conference crown in the conference championship game. Struggling teams still have a chance to 'save' their season by winning a big rivalry game, and others can play spoiler and knock a playoff contender out of the conference and national title chase.
The ...
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NFL Week 7 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Some poor offensive showings and games were clearly evident in Week 7 with the first three games on the card leading the way. The Bears were an embarrassment to Chicago and their betting backers on Thursday night losing at rival Green Bay 26-10 with just 13 first downs, 45 plays and 189 total yards at 4.2 yards per play. Jay Cutler returns at QB for their week 8 Monday night match-up at home against the Vikings and their league-best defense. Another ...
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Evaluating Teams And Late Season Bye Weeks
Here is the list of college football teams with late October and November bye weeks along with their opponents before and after the bye week. In college football, this is a real benefit to the rested and prepared team and especially later in the season. When playing at home it becomes an even greater advantage.
In past seasons I’ve used a base situation favoring the home team off a bye with better than 65% success Against-the-Spread (ATS). ...
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NFL Week 6 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
It was a strange week from a statistical perspective as you’ll see below in some of my analysis and charts. There were some huge rushing results with expected win/covers, but some very poor running games by teams that got the money late like the Browns, Giants and Saints. And the New York Giants became the first team this season to have a minus (-3) or greater turnover margin and get the point spread cover (1-16 ATS this year). And it was just the ...
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Isolating the Powerful, Balanced and Efficient Offenses in College Football
As we make the turn past the halfway point of the college football regular season, we can now utilize some stronger statistical numbers in evaluating teams and match-ups. All BCS conference teams have now played 2-4 conferences games to give us realistic projections on their performance vs. similar opponents. No more “false favorites” who padded their numbers vs. a soft non-conference schedule.
I ...
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