1233 Results for author: FairwayJay

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 10

NFL Week 10 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats The Browns continued to embarrass themselves in losing their 10th straight game (0-10) at Baltimore last Thursday night. Cleveland managed just 11 first downs and 144 yards total offense at 3.0 yards per play in a 28-7 defeat. Consider that the Browns led 7-6 at halftime and it’s clear this team is now an underdog to win a game this season. The 49ers managed to cover the big spread at Arizona in a last second loss at Arizona, 23-20. Yet San ... More

College Football Handicapping – Analysis of a Winning Wager

Breaking Down the Match-ups and Games - Analysis of a Winning Wager Sat., Nov. 12 was a good day for members and our Top Plays, which went 3-1 as the lone loss came in the closing minute when Troy completed a 43-yard pass on 4th-and-6 and followed with a 11-yard TD run on the next snap to beat Appalachian State (+2), 24-20. But we had a couple good road scores as South Florida rolled into Memphis and piled up the yards and points in a 48-41 win. The back and forth game ended when Memphis ... More

College Football Handicapping – Late Season Fatigue

Evaluating Emotion and Identifying Signs of Late Season Fatigue We're in the closing month of the college football season and late season fatigue, emotion and defensive erosion needs to be evaluated. Emotion can play a significant part of handicapping college football, and no greater time than late season when rivalry games, last home games, conference titles and a final four playoff berth are at stake. Same too with teams out of the bowl game picture, as these towel tossers have seen their ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 9

NFL Week 9 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats The Falcons got their redemption to start the week Thursday, burying the Buccaneers 43-28 in Tampa. A strong, balanced attack for the league’s most productive offense helped the Falcons fly to victory as Atlanta maintains their 2-game lead on top of the NFC South at 6-3. Some surprises in week 9 included the Colts going to Green Bay and leading wire-to-wire in upsetting the Packers 31-26 as 7-point ‘Dog. The Vikings scored a TD with just 23 ... More

College Football Handicapping – Tuesday Night MAC Play

MAC Attack on Election Night and Eastern Michigan Gets Our Vote The country will be keeping score and watching the results of the presidential election Tuesday night as Clinton tries to hold off Trump. And while many American’s have negative feelings and would rather bet against those two ‘bad’ candidates, similar feelings harvest in the hearts and minds of sports bettors when betting on bad teams. Tuesday's MAC match-up between Ball State and Eastern Michigan fits that profile to many ... More

NFL Handicapping – Inside the Numbers Week 8

NFL Week 8 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats Early risers Sunday morning watched the Bengals and Redskins come alive in the 2nd half to deliver an over the total winner, but the two teams couldn’t settle the score in overtime to finish in a 27-27 tie.  The marquee Sunday night match-up had a big betting swing, as Eagles bettors were shot down with their solid underdog bet (+5) in a 29-23 overtime loss at Dallas. The Cowboys controlled the line of scrimmage and yards with a strong, balanced ... More

College Football Handicapping – Defensive Dominators

Evaluating The Stats And College Football Defensive Dominators In seasons past I’ve written many articles on college football using statistical indicators and profiles to assist you in college football handicapping. That includes my recent article on this year’s most powerful and balanced elite offenses. Public bettors love to bet on high-octane offensive teams, but the sports books know that and also adjust to those tendencies and public perception. That includes when posting totals, ... More

College Football Handicapping – National Title Contenders

Top Contenders for the College Football Playoff into November As the calendar turns to November next week, many teams are pushing for a bowl bid and some conference contenders are looking to secure a division title and a shot at their conference crown in the conference championship game. Struggling teams still have a chance to 'save' their season by winning a big rivalry game, and others can play spoiler and knock a playoff contender out of the conference and national title chase. The ... More