2021 PGA Championship Odds And Betting Insights

The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island hosts 2021 PGA Championship

The 2021 PGA Championship looks to be a tough test on the long, links style Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Resort in South Carolina. The Par 72 oceanside course stretches to 7,868 yards – the longest in major championship history. It’s rated one of the hardest golf courses in America, according to slope and course rating.  Sunny skies and 70’s temperatures on in the forecast, along with lots of bunkers, undulation and wind that always blows on the seaside course.

How much impact will the wind have if it really blows? Justin Ray Golf notes,

“At the 2nd round of the 2012 PGA at Kiawah Island, the field averaged 78.09 – the highest single round at the PGA Championship in the last 40 years.”

Check out some of the early tournament previews and my chip-ins for the PGA Championship with players, odds, analysis and course insight and information you can bet on at TheLines. Included is a Podcast preview with tournament match-up picks and insight.

My PGA Championship coverage at Forbes includes popular players and golf betting data from leading online sportsbooks, FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM and William Hill. I add more key stats to consider and other sports betting coverage of the PGA Championship in my coverage at Offshore Gaming Association.

My FanDuel update with top golfers odds are in the field with groups and starting times noted.

More updates on this page are added during tournament week.

2021 PGA Championship Odds

COURSE AND TOURNAMENT INFORMATION

  • Course: The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island
  • Location: Kiawah Island, SC
  • Date: May 20-23
  • Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,876
  • Fairways/Rough: Paspalum
  • Greens: Paspalum
  • TV/Online: Golf Channel, ESPN/ESPN+ (Thurs/Fri, Sat/Sun a.m.), CBS (Sat/Sun p.m.), PGA Tour Live
  • Twitter & Hashtag: @PGAChampionship, #PGAChamp
  • Defending champion: Collin Morikawa (TPC Harding Park)

Despite its name, water is truly in play on only three holes at the Ocean Course, with each of those on the back nine. The large, undulating greens are long and narrow and are well guarded by sand bunkers and dunes. Palpalum greens are grainy (similar to Bermuda), slower and exceptionally firm, which can lead to balls bouncing and rolling off into those trouble areas.

Designed by Pete and Alice Dye, the Ocean Course was crafted for the prevailing swirling winds. One nine plays into an easterly wind with the other playing into the west. These winds wreaked havoc in 2012 with McIlroy the only player finishing better than minus-5. Only one player, Vijay Singh, broke 70 in Round 2.

The fairways are wide and allow the Tour’s longest hitters to let it fly off the tee. The real challenges are in the approach shots, with tricky landing areas often forcing lay-ups on the par 5s depending on the wind direction. It’s very difficult to get up and down if approach shots aren’t on point.

KEY STATS

  • Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Off-the-Tee
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Sand Save Percentage

SG: Off-the-Tee leaders last 36 rounds: (Fantasy National database)

1. Bryson DeChambeau 40.5
2. Viktor Hovland 30.3
3. Sergio Garcia 29.6
4. Jon Rahm 27.8
5. Rory McIlroy 26.3
6. Corey Conners 25.9
7. Cameron Champ 24.5
8. Sungjae Im 22.9
9. Bubba Watson 22.7
10. Joaquin Niemann 20.7
11. Daniel Berger 19.7
12. Cameron Davis 19

SG: Approach
1. Collin Morikawa
2. Justin Thomas
3. Corey Connors
4. Will Zalatoris
5. Charley Hoffman
6. Jordan Spieth
7. Sam Burns
8. Brooks Koepka
9. Keegan Bradley
10. Abraham Ancer
11. Tyrrell Hatton
13. Tony Finau
14. Paul Casey
Six Par 4’s stretch to more than 450 yards, and two longer than 500 yards. So Proximity to hole with longer irons is in play as well. Of course, more wind is in play, but golfers with stronger Proximity stats 175-200 yards and 200 and greater.
  • Morikawa
  • Zalatoris
  • Hoffman
  • Berger
  • Hatton
  • McIlroy
  • Hovland
  • Casey
  • DeChambeau
  • Hatton
  • C. Davis
  • J. Thomas

PGA Championship Longshots and Season Rundown

The tournament match-up record remains at 15-4 following last week’s push at theAT&T Byron Nelson. Since the start of 2021 and the Sony Open we’ve update the results and links to events below, which included a recent 100/1 winner on Sam Burns and a match-up winner at the Valspar Championship,

Our 9-1 run was snapped at the RBC Heritage. That included a 2-0 match-up results at The Masters, a 4-0 run since the Honda Classic, where we had longshot Matt Wallace as a match-up winner by the weekend, and 5-1 since The PLAYERS Championship when we had Justin Thomas as both the outright winner and tournament match-up winner. Continuing a 6-1 run since Will Zalatoris (+4500) delivered a top-10 finish as a golfer to watch and another match-up winner for us in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and 8-1 since the WGC Workday with two more match-up winners (plus a push), and a golfer to watch in Collin Morikawa (+4500) who won the tournament outright. Finally, the run was 9-1 back to the Genesis Invitational at Riviera where we whacked another easy match-up winner (plus a push) when our opponent missed the cut.

Golfers to Watch at longer odds, and so many capable players to include.

My update for FanDuel dark horse picks at PGA Championship.

  • Billy Horschel
  • Shane Lowry
  • Corey Connors
  • Branden Grace
  • Keegan Bradley
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Justin Rose
  • Adam Scott
  • Sergio Garcia
  • Thomas Pieters
  • Sam Burns
  • Matt Jones
  • Joaquin Niemann
  • Robert MacIntyre
  • Garrick Higgo
  • Victor Perez

2021 PGA Championship Picks 

Fairway’s Favorites: Jon Rahm (+1400), Viktor Hovland (+2200), Daniel Berger (+2800), Will Zalatoris (+5500)
Fairway’s Longshots: Tyrrell Hatton (+6000), Shane Lowry (+9000), Billy Horschel (+11000), Thomas Pieters (+17500)

Tournament Match-ups: 15-4 YTD. Tyrrell Hatton (-130) over Tommy Fleetwood and Viktor Hovland (-155) over Patrick Reed (William Hill)

FINAL ROUND UPDATE: My article in Forbesfinal round odds update with Mickelson (-7) and Koepka (-6) leaders, and 4th round match-up Scheffler over Stricker.

For more chip-ins, match-ups, prop bets, stats and profiles, reach me directly and I’ll chip-in more insight and information you can bet on.

Next week it’s the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial in Fort Worth, TX. That event was the first tournament following the pandemic and TOUR shutdown last season.

Update: Phil Mickelson wins PGA Championship at 200/1 odds and age 50. Oldest major champion ever. Longshot Lowry top -5 finish, Rahm and Zalatoris top-10 and Hovland T30. Tourney match-ups 1-1, tough loser on Hovland/Reed, who made cut on number with higher scores Friday afternoon. Chipped in 4th round winner in Forbes, along with Mickelson final round O/U score. Tourney match-ups 16-5 YTD.

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on Twitter: @FairwayJay